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The Hired Guns Poll: Where’s the Job Market Headed?

Recession is Over! (If you want it.)This past couple of weeks have brought some hopeful signs for the economy. Last month, the U.S. gained 243,000 jobs. The unemployment rate is now “only” 8.3% — the lowest it’s been in three years, and that doesn’t seem like a fluke — it’s the fifth straight month of decline. In fact, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s first-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters predicts that the economy will add an average of 144,100 jobs a month in 2012.

We’ve been here before — in fact, in the first quarter of last year it seemed as if the economic wind was at our backs, but it didn’t pan out. We’re wondering whether or not you think this one’s different. It’s worth noting that the rate of “long-term unemployed” (those unemployed for over 27 weeks) did not change, and that the worse and worse economic news from Europe isn’t likely to encourage much hiring.

With all this uncertainly, we wanted to turn to you, to see what you think the job market will do in the next 6-9 months. Pull out your crystal ball…

Poll not showing up? You can take it here.

[Image: Pablo Alvarado/Flickr]

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In the News: Todd Cherches Tells Crain’s Where He Finds His Best Ideas

Hired Guns blogger Todd Cherches was quoted in yesterday’s Crain’s NY Business, in an article (“Fountain of inspiration”) about possible reasons that the best ideas often seem to come in the shower:

The Hired Guns in the NewsMr. Cherches’ activity of choice involves heading for the bath—–a direction made considerably easier by the fact that he runs his business from his Manhattan apartment and has no employees. “Showering blocks out everything and everyone, so you’re away from it all,” said Mr. Cherches…. “You’re creating a cocoon of solitude.”

For Mr. Cherches, it’s all about the “creative pause,” a term probably coined in the 1960s by Edward de Bono, a famed scholar of creative thinking. The concept refers to a time when someone stops thinking about a problem on purpose, engages in another activity, and often unexpectedly comes up with a solution without even trying.

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The Good Guns: Help Find a Cure for PKD, a Deadly Genetic Disease

The Good GunsHired Guns blogger and Get Your Blog On instructor Bill Brazell inherited polycystic kidney disease, aka PKD, from his dad. The disorder often causes elevated blood pressure in those that have it, and it can also cause kidney failure and early death. PKD took the life of Bill’s first cousin when he was just 35, leaving two young children behind. And Bill’s sister and brother both have it as well.

Although few people have heard of PKD, it’s relatively common, affecting roughly 1 in every 500 people. This means that more people have it than have muscular dystrophy, sickle-cell anemia, Huntington’s disease, Down syndrome, hemophilia, and cystic fibrosis combined.

There’s important research being down right now, and experimental drugs are helping to slow the progression of the disease in some patients. Bill and others want to make sure this important research continues — especially during tough economic times like this one.

To help raise awareness, as well as the money needed to find a cure for PKD, Bill dresses each year as a giant kidney and Walks for PKD. (He also made a music video to the tune of a Weezer song — see below.)

To help him and everyone else affected by this disease, please make a donation on Bill’s behalf — the Tristate Walk for PKD is this Sunday, October 23.

Let’s share the love, and show the PKD community what The Hired Guns can do!

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Check Out What The Hired Guns Academy Has in Store for Fall

Summer’s over — it’s time to hit the books.

We have a full roster of classes planned for the fall semester at The Hired Guns Academy. Take a glance at the list below and choose the ones you need to get inspired; learn new, highly marketable skills; or shake up your career and take it in a new direction:

Monday, October 3
Get “Unstuck”: How to Get (And Keep) Your Creativity Flowing
Noah Scalin, the author of Unstuck and 365: A Daily Creativity Journal, will show you how you can keep your creativity going fast and furious.

Thursday, October 27
What’s Your Story? Master the Art of the Elevator Pitch and Harness the Power of Short-Storytelling
Larry Smith, of Smith Magazine and Six-Word Memoirs fame, reveals how telling your story in a concentrated, well thought-out burst can help you stand out from your (much more tongue-tied) peers. You’ll never ever need to break out in a sweat when someone asks you, “So, what do you do?” again.

Wednesday, November 9
Digital Reinvention for Journalists: Transfer the Skills You Already Have to a Career in Digital
Charlie Rogers, who has launched many a publication and website, gives guidance on the traditional skills that translate most easily into digital—as well as the new skills you’ll need to turn yourself into Journalist 2.0 (or 3.0).

Wednesday, November 30
Nail That Presentation! Adding Strength to Your Professional Talks, Appearances, and Job Interviews
This high-energy class by the speech and presentation master Joel Schwartzberg is what you need to make your speeches, presentations, and interviews of all sorts be the powerful, persuasive tools they should be.

Wednesday, December 7
Get Your Blog On: Increase Your Visibility Through Online Publishing
Blogging veteran Bill Brazell gives the lowdown on what it takes to make a new blog succeed rather than flounder.

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In the News: Diane Vadino’s Intricate Paper Works Take Over Bendel’s

The Hired Guns in the NewsToday, the artist, novelist, and Hired Gun Diane Vadino will be showing and selling her art as part of the Hester Street Fair’s takeover of Bendel’s, at 5th Avenue and 56th Street. All told, this Fashion’s Night Out event will cover an entire floor of the classic haute-NYC department store.

To sweeten the pot, Diane will be making free “mini-neighborhood maps” — letter-sized cut-paper versions of your nabe, with your home address at the center. Here’s a sample of her work: a detail from her intricate, hand-cut map of Brooklyn neighborhoods:

 

Brooklyn Map

 

 

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In the News: The Hired Guns and the End of “Obnoxious Eating”

The Hired Guns in the NewsSue Shellenbarger has an amusing article in today’s Wall Street Journal about the problems that eating at your desk can cause: stinky sandwiches and noisy chips bring complaints from co-workers, and computer keyboards don’t react well to crumbs and spilled drinks finding their way inside.

In this “Field Guide to Obnoxious Eating” there’s also a quote from The Energy Project’s Tony Schwartz about how a skimpy lunch break “actually drains energy and reduces output,” which is something he has helped remedy through his Take Back Your Lunch movement.

The article then goes on to mention The Hired Guns’ president, Allison Hemming, who ate lunch at her desk for years until she saw the light. “Now, if she sees her employees working through lunch, ‘I get them out of their desks,’ encouraging them to get outside, she says. ‘We’ve seen a major boost in productivity” and sales as a result.”

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Take Back Your Lunch with The Hired Guns: Wednesday, August 17

Where we'll be on 8/17

It’s been one long, hot summer. Join the Hired Guns next Wednesday at noon to get out of the office and Take Back Your Lunch with us. We’re going to get together and walk the newly expanded High Line. Then we’re going to do lunch at the food trucks at the “end of the Line,” near 10th Avenue and 30th Street. Hope to see you there.

Here are the details! Please sign up so we can reach you with specifics.

[Photo: USVIZION/flickr]

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How to Get Your Presentation Picked for SXSW

Getting selected to speak at SXSW Interactive is a great way to establish yourself as an expert in a subject that you’re passionate about. Although the festival doesn’t happen until next March, the deadline for submitting a big idea talk on its famous PanelPicker is almost here—it’s this Friday, July 15, at 11:59pm, CDT (although see the end of this post for more info about the additional deadline for finalizing your proposal).

Naturally everyone wants to be able to set themselves apart from the crowd—last year, SXSWi got over 2500 submissions—and accepted less than 1 in 4, or 600. So with time ticking away, we went straight to the top to find out just what makes a panel popular, both with online voters and with the audiences in Austin. Since 1993, Hugh Forrest has been the event director for SXSW Interactive, managing the event and deciding the process by which panelists will be determined. We caught up with him to get some insider tips on making your panel sound the best it can be, on the importance (or unimportance!) of voting, and why it doesn’t hurt to play to the experts in the crowd.

How to Speak at SXSW 2012Why torture your prospective speakers by making them get their submissions in by July 15?
It’s simple: putting together a panel or solo presentation takes a heck of a lot of organization. If a speaker can meet a deadline in July, it shows us that they’re serious and they want to put the effort in. Moreover, if someone can persuade a crowd to vote for them in the middle of August, we see that as a positive indication that they could likely pull off a strong panel.

So what’s the single best way that potential speakers can stand out on the PanelPicker?
The best advice I can give is less is more—try to be as specific as possible. Don’t try to cover all things Facebook in the space of an hour, it’s just too much. Writing up a submission is one thing, delivering it is another. Live, broad topics often come across as rushed and confused. Try to whittle your concept down to a small, tight idea and then submit that.

How else can someone get noticed?
Be the expert. Don’t be afraid of developing an advanced-level topic. We always get a lot more intermediate-level submissions–everyone chooses the middle of the road.

What types of panels are you most eager to see?
More solo panels. They deliver a lot more depth and our audience prefers them. Group panels can get sidetracked and go off course, depending on the strength of the moderator.

Can SXSW be a good conference for a first-time speaker?
Definitely. While polished talks by pros are definitely important, freshness is too. We really do try to achieve a balance between experienced presenters and new voices.

What trumps: instructional panels, educational panels, or panels that are for pure entertainment value?
Tough question. I’d have to weigh instructional panels slightly higher than the others, especially because not everyone agrees on what makes good entertainment.

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Meet Our Blogger: Matt Smith

The Hired Guns’ newest blogger, Matt Smith, is an expert at developing new products, innovative thinking, and startups. He’ll be putting his knowledge to good use for us as he writes about product management and methods to help companies innovate effectively, especially in an Agile environment. Matt sees his mission as “helping people grow, fostering ideas, and solving complicated problems in an innovative way.” We wanted to find out more . . . .

The Stats:

Hometown:
Newton, Mass.

Current ‘hood:
Upper West Side, NYC

College/Grad School:
Union College

Current Job:
Director, New Products & Innovation at Shutterstock

Where do you plan to take your column this year?
I really want to focus on success by innovation. Specifically how being Agile, in both product development and in business operations, can lead to innovation and, ultimately, success.

What do you hope to accomplish with your Hired Gun posts?
I’d like to help people understand innovation; how to find the open spaces within a business or industry, and fill them. Ultimately what we as product people are here to do is figure out how to help people, how to solve problems, and make people’s lives easier. At our core, we’re innovators. Or course, that’s much easier said than done.

Not everyone understands how to innovate, how to fill those gaps, and how to do it successfully. I’m writing these posts to help people learn and how to succeed.

Who should be checking you out?
Everyone from a new product person to a CEO who is looking to understand how to bring Agile to his or her business so that it can operate and innovate quickly and successfully.

There is a right way and a wrong way to be Agile, and it’s a slippery slope. When done the right way, Agile can help a company be incredibly successful, but when done wrong, it can really hurt a company. People who want to understand the right way to be innovative through Agile should be checking me out.

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Thu June 16: NYC SALT Parties for a Good Cause

A reminder that the nonprofit photography organization NYC SALT will be having its first graduation party and gallery show this Thursday, June 16th. The group helps disadvantaged New York teens learn about photography and also helps prepare them for higher education. The party will include live music, a silent auction of prints by established photographers, and wine and appetizers. Works by SALT students will also be for sale.

To find out more about the organization, check out the video below . . . .

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